One thing that almost every commentator has said which I think it complete and utter bollocks is that the Radiohead/NIN model is great, but only for large established bands with loyal fanbases.
This is not true.
The NIN model (that of varying price levels, from free to hella expensive) is not only the future for indie bands, it very well might just be “the answer”.
People (including Trent Reznor, who should know better) point to the Saul Williams experiment as why less established bands cannot use the freemium model. Saul Williams released a self-titled album in 2004. After three years it sold about 38,000 copies. In late 2007, with the help of Trent Reznor, Saul Williams offered up his latest album, The Inevitable Rise of NiggyTardust, on his website for either free or $5. In this first two months with no real marketing or touring at all for the album, Saul had about 155,000 downloads, 28,000 of which were paid. His paid download rate was 18.3%. And this was a failure everyone says.
That is not true.
First off, Saul made about $140,000 off the album in just two months will minimal expenses. He had no marketing budget. I assume he recorded it in Trent’s studio. He had a couple of samples, one of which cost $10,000. Musicane, which handled the distribution and backend for the release, received roughly a 20% cut. “Indie” acts usually make little to no money off their albums. After only two months, Saul had made a fair amount of money off NiggyTardust. Now that he’s started touring and promoting the album, he’s only going to make more. He’s already over 200,000 downloads and I’d be willing to bet he sees his paid download rate increase (earlier downloaders were mainly fans of NIN who had no allegiance to Saul, only Trent. Now that he’s touring and promoting the album, he’s going to be creating more fans, who will likely be more willing to pay for the album).
Not to mention the value of having 200,000 people having heard your music and having a database of every single one of their e-mail addresses. That alone would be worth giving the music away for free. Now, when he tours, he can just e-mail everybody who has his album and tell them when he’ll be in their town. He’s also drawing from a pool of people to attend his concerts that is over FIVE times as large as it was prior to the release of NiggyTardust.
But isn’t an 18.3% paid download rate terrible? Don’t CD’s have a 100% paid rate? No, and you’re missing the bigger picture. First off, between the various file-sharing services, traditional releases likely have a surprisingly small percentage of paid listeners. Second, 18.3% is great! If you know you’re going to get roughly 1 out of every 5 people who download your album to pay for it, then all you need to do is increase total downloads. All Saul needs to do if he wants to make more money this week is to seek to drive more people to his website. Get a good review, give an interview, play a live show, announce a re-mix contest, engage in any sort of promotion, talk to bloggers, get his name out there any way possible and people will go to his site. Increasing hit counts for websites is not hard. If the music is free, more often than not, people will download and check it out. If you know 1 in 5 of those people will pay for the album? Well, you just figured out how to make money by giving your music away online. Congratulations and welcome to the wonder that is the internet.